Play of the day, every day

One pick per day this year, whichever game the model liked most on the slate, checked against what actually happened.

69–26 (72.6% · 95 days)

+32.2u (average odds: -122)

Each day's pick is whichever side the model was more confident in that day: NRFI (no run) or YRFI (a run scores). Units assume flat 1-unit bets.

DateMatchupSideConfidenceResultUnits
2026-07-27 BAL @ DET NRFI 74.0% LOSS -1.00
2026-07-26 KC @ DET YRFI 67.5% WIN +0.79
2026-07-24 TOR @ BOS NRFI 65.8% LOSS -1.00
2026-07-22 WSH @ COL YRFI 75.2% LOSS -1.00
2026-07-21 SF @ KC YRFI 67.3% LOSS -1.00
2026-07-18 CWS @ TOR YRFI 70.8% LOSS -1.00
2026-07-17 CIN @ COL YRFI 79.5% WIN +0.56
2026-07-12 ATL @ STL YRFI 79.3% WIN +0.99
2026-07-11 COL @ SF YRFI 72.9% LOSS -1.00
2026-07-10 AZ @ LAD YRFI 85.7% WIN +0.79
2026-07-09 CHC @ BAL YRFI 75.4% LOSS -1.00
2026-07-08 AZ @ SD NRFI 85.0% LOSS -1.00
2026-07-07 ATL @ PIT YRFI 93.4% WIN +1.02
2026-07-06 AZ @ SD NRFI 72.2% LOSS -1.00
2026-07-05 SF @ COL YRFI 68.1% WIN +1.42
2026-07-04 MIN @ NYY YRFI 85.9% WIN +0.65
2026-07-03 STL @ CHC YRFI 82.4% LOSS -1.00
2026-07-02 STL @ ATL YRFI 94.5% WIN +0.86
2026-07-01 STL @ ATL YRFI 73.5% WIN +0.82
2026-06-30 LAD @ ATH YRFI 68.5% WIN +0.60
2026-06-29 TEX @ CLE NRFI 69.9% WIN +0.72
2026-06-28 CHC @ MIL NRFI 69.9% WIN +0.83
2026-06-27 MIA @ STL YRFI 68.5% WIN +0.90
2026-06-26 HOU @ DET NRFI 74.7% WIN +0.93
2026-06-25 SEA @ PIT NRFI 68.3% LOSS -1.00
2026-06-24 CHC @ NYM NRFI 68.6% WIN +0.77
2026-06-23 PHI @ WSH NRFI 72.4% WIN +0.88
2026-06-22 ATL @ SD NRFI 68.3% WIN +0.78
2026-06-21 CWS @ DET NRFI 76.7% WIN +0.86
2026-06-19 BOS @ SEA NRFI 69.0% WIN +0.60
2026-06-18 CLE @ MIL NRFI 68.1% WIN +0.68
2026-06-17 LAA @ AZ YRFI 69.1% WIN +0.74
2026-06-15 KC @ WSH NRFI 70.3% WIN +1.00
2026-06-14 TB @ LAA NRFI 76.5% WIN +1.01
2026-06-13 SD @ BAL YRFI 72.7% WIN +0.67
2026-06-12 SEA @ WSH NRFI 69.7% WIN +0.92
2026-06-11 MIN @ DET NRFI 67.1% LOSS -1.00
2026-06-10 BOS @ TB NRFI 70.0% WIN +0.74
2026-06-06 SEA @ DET NRFI 79.0% WIN +0.81
2026-06-05 NYM @ SD NRFI 68.4% WIN +0.72
2026-06-04 SF @ MIL YRFI 68.5% WIN +0.82
2026-06-03 MIA @ WSH NRFI 68.7% WIN +0.78
2026-05-31 DET @ CWS NRFI 71.0% LOSS -1.00
2026-05-30 KC @ TEX YRFI 68.1% WIN +0.93
2026-05-27 TB @ BAL YRFI 73.0% WIN +0.78
2026-05-25 HOU @ TEX YRFI 68.4% WIN +0.93
2026-05-24 ATH @ SD NRFI 69.0% LOSS -1.00
2026-05-23 STL @ CIN NRFI 69.3% WIN +1.00
2026-05-22 DET @ BAL NRFI 68.1% LOSS -1.00
2026-05-21 CLE @ DET NRFI 69.5% WIN +0.65
2026-05-20 MIL @ CHC NRFI 69.5% WIN +0.58
2026-05-19 CLE @ DET NRFI 86.9% WIN +0.77
2026-05-18 HOU @ MIN YRFI 74.1% LOSS -1.00
2026-05-17 SF @ ATH YRFI 73.3% LOSS -1.00
2026-05-16 TOR @ DET NRFI 67.8% WIN +0.75
2026-05-15 SF @ ATH YRFI 68.5% LOSS -1.00
2026-05-14 DET @ NYM NRFI 69.1% LOSS -1.00
2026-05-13 SD @ MIL NRFI 79.7% WIN +0.61
2026-05-12 SD @ MIL NRFI 70.2% WIN +0.91
2026-05-11 LAA @ CLE NRFI 68.2% WIN +0.79
2026-05-09 ATL @ LAD YRFI 69.1% WIN +0.92
2026-05-08 DET @ KC NRFI 72.1% WIN +0.80
2026-05-07 TEX @ NYY YRFI 75.5% WIN +0.95
2026-05-05 BOS @ DET YRFI 90.2% WIN +1.02
2026-05-04 CIN @ CHC NRFI 77.4% WIN +1.23
2026-05-03 SF @ TB YRFI 68.5% WIN +0.93
2026-05-02 CWS @ SD NRFI 67.9% WIN +0.80
2026-04-28 CHC @ SD NRFI 67.9% WIN +0.82
2026-04-26 SD @ AZ NRFI 70.1% WIN +1.77
2026-04-25 NYY @ HOU YRFI 68.5% WIN +0.78
2026-04-24 WSH @ CWS NRFI 72.4% WIN +0.92
2026-04-22 MIL @ DET NRFI 68.2% WIN +0.74
2026-04-21 MIL @ DET NRFI 81.0% WIN +0.74
2026-04-20 CIN @ TB YRFI 68.2% WIN +0.95
2026-04-19 SD @ LAA NRFI 69.2% WIN +0.88
2026-04-18 TOR @ AZ YRFI 68.2% WIN +0.80
2026-04-17 NYM @ CHC NRFI 66.8% LOSS -1.00
2026-04-16 KC @ DET NRFI 68.8% WIN +0.78
2026-04-15 SF @ CIN YRFI 68.0% WIN +0.83
2026-04-14 SEA @ SD NRFI 69.3% WIN +0.68
2026-04-13 NYM @ LAD YRFI 70.0% WIN +0.90
2026-04-12 CWS @ KC NRFI 73.7% WIN +0.85
2026-04-11 CLE @ ATL NRFI 67.0% LOSS -1.00
2026-04-10 WSH @ MIL YRFI 76.9% WIN +0.92
2026-04-07 SD @ PIT NRFI 81.7% WIN +0.54
2026-04-06 PHI @ SF YRFI 72.9% LOSS -1.00
2026-04-05 STL @ DET NRFI 69.3% WIN +0.79
2026-04-04 TOR @ CWS NRFI 81.7% LOSS -1.00
2026-04-03 SD @ BOS NRFI 70.3% WIN +0.77
2026-04-02 NYM @ SF YRFI 65.7% WIN +1.06
2026-04-01 TEX @ BAL NRFI 66.3% WIN +0.78
2026-03-31 DET @ AZ NRFI 65.7% WIN +0.96
2026-03-29 LAA @ HOU YRFI 68.3% LOSS -1.00
2026-03-28 PIT @ NYM YRFI 90.7% LOSS -1.00
2026-03-27 ATH @ TOR YRFI 68.9% LOSS -1.00